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Today's Top Free Expert Picks

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  • expert headshot
    Micah Roberts
    #4
    +1170
    (67%)
    14-7-1 in Last 22 MLB Picks
    TB -1.5
    +168
    Spread
    Picked: Jul 25 @ 11:26pm

    Analysis

    The Rays have won five of their last six games after having a 5 game losing streak. Tampa Bay will tell you that winning is much better than losing, and I think they want to keep winning at home and sweep Cleveland this weekend. Drew Rasmussen won his last outing against Toronto 12-2, where he allowed two runs in five innings, but I think this is more about the team knowing where they are right now. When Tampa Bay is at home, they are 37-15. While they're at home, they’re going for another sweep Sunday. Tampa Bay to win.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +1721.5
    (64%)
    135-76-2 in Last 213 MLB Picks
    NYM +1.5
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: Jul 25 @ 11:08pm

    Analysis

    Feels like a major intangibles spot against the Dodgers as they have been on the road -- on the East Coast -- since the All-Star break ended. Guys ready to get home. And it's their weak link of the rotation in Emmet Sheehan (4-7, 5.13). The bullpen is quite taxed. New York's Freddy Peralta has been a massive disappointment, but one dominant start against a good team like L.A, and all of a sudden his free-agent value goes up a bit. Quite possibly his last start with NYM before being traded. And he will be traded.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    #2
    +1523
    (64%)
    51-29 in Last 80 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    F. Valdez
    Over 17.5
    -152
    Outs Recorded
    Picked: Jul 26 @ 9:12am

    Analysis

    DraftKings. Coming off a brutal outing against the Cubs, I like Framber Valdez to rebound against the Royals today. The lefty has cleared this outs line in 5/8 full starts at home, and he gets a prime matchup against the Royals. Kansas City has some pretty stark home/road splits against lefties this season, with a .677 OPS on the road, compared to .738 at home. Without their two best right-handed hitters (Bobby Witt and Maikel Garcia), I like the Tigers southpaw to finish six innings today.
  • expert headshot
    Angelo Magliocca
    +442.5
    (63%)
    25-15 in Last 40 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    J. Misiorowski
    YES
    -103
    Pitcher to Record a Win
    Picked: Jul 26 @ 9:11am

    Analysis

    Jacob Misiorowski is coming off a short outing where it was thought to be Milwaukee limiting his innings, but manager Pat Murphy said after the game that Miz was "out of sorts with his delivery, his velocity fell and he leaned on his breaking stuff." That makes it seem like an isolated decision, and I would not be surprised to see him be dominant again and have a big game for strikeouts. This is about as severe of a starting pitcher mismatch as you will see if Miz is healthy, and the Brewers offense should be able to score against Kyle Freeland, who's allowed 4+ runs in five of his last seven starts. Milwaukee has a significant bullpen edge to hold down the win too.
  • expert headshot
    Eric Cohen
    #3
    +1477
    (76%)
    22-7 in Last 29 MLB Picks
    PHI
    -160
    Money Line
    Picked: Jul 25 @ 8:51pm

    Analysis

    I don't lay minus-160s often but when I do, it's because Cristopher Sanchez is pitching at home for the Phillies. He's 8-1 with a 1.15 ERA at Citizens Bank Park and looks to guide his team to avoid the sweep at the hands of the Yankees. Look for Philadelphia to snap its four game losing streak and likely win by multiple runs with the NL Cy Young candidate on the bump.

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